Foresight resources & guides

Horizon scanning guide: how to spot change before it happens

Change rarely announces itself. Horizon scanning is how foresight and strategy professionals detect early signals — the weak, emerging signs that hint at what’s next for markets, technologies, and societies. It’s the foundation of future-ready organizations.

 

Horizon scanning guide

About this guide

What is horizon scanning and why it matters

Horizon scanning is the systematic process of identifying and interpreting signals of change before they turn into trends. For foresight teams, it’s not just about collecting information – it’s about seeing patterns, connecting insights, and translating them into strategic foresight and innovation opportunities.

Who this guide is for

This guide is designed for foresight managers, innovation leaders, and strategy professionals who want to make horizon scanning a repeatable, high-impact part of their foresight work. Whether you’re building your process from scratch or scaling collaboration across teams, you’ll find practical advice grounded in real foresight practice.

What you’ll learn in this guide

Explore how to identify signals of change, involve colleagues, track weak signalsavoid scanning pitfalls, and more. Each article dives deeper into specific challenges foresight teams face and shows how to turn scattered signals into strategic insight.

Read this guide on the go – download PDF

PDF version of this guide coming soon – check back later!

Start scanning smarter with FIBRES

FIBRES is the purpose-built foresight and horizon scanning platform that helps teams turn scanning into action. Discover, analyze, and share your signals of change all in one place so you can see what’s coming and lead with confidence.

Horizon scanning guide

Foresight fundamentals

Master the basics of horizon scanning with these instructional articles.

How to apply the three horizons model in day-to-day horizon scanning

The three horizons model is a practical foresight framework that helps structure how organizations think about the future. It provides a simple yet powerful way to connect today’s operations,...

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How to identify signals of change with PESTEL

Signals of change are small clues that reveal how the world might shift. They can be new behaviors, technologies, policies, or attitudes that point toward emerging trends. Identifying them early...

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Benefits of building a central scanning hub with foresight software

Horizon scanning helps organizations spot early signals of change, track emerging trends, and prepare for shifts that may reshape their industry. Yet many foresight teams still rely on spreadsheets,...

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What are weak signals and where to find them

Every major trend begins as something small. At first, it may look like noise: a new behavior in a niche community, an unfamiliar technology in a research lab, or a policy shift on the other side of...

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Common pitfalls of weak signal scanning and how to avoid them

Weak signal scanning is one of the most important practices in foresight. By spotting the earliest hints of change, organizations can anticipate disruptions, identify opportunities, and prepare...

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The power of clustering: turning early signals into actionable insights

A single weak signal rarely changes a strategy. One new startup, one experimental policy, or one shift in consumer behavior may be interesting, but on its own it is not enough to guide decisions. The...

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Weak signals vs. trends: how to tell the difference and why it matters

In foresight work, few concepts are as fundamental as weak signals and trends. Both are essential for building futures intelligence, yet they serve very different roles. Understanding the difference...

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Horizon scanning guide

Practitioner Q&A

Dive deeper with answers to key questions from horizon scanning experts.

How to serve multiple business needs with the same horizon scanning work?

Horizon scanning rarely serves just one purpose. In most organizations, it supports strategy, innovation, and risk management all at once. The challenge is ensuring that one scanning process meets...

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As a foresight manager, how do I involve colleagues in horizon scanning?

Involving more people in horizon scanning turns isolated observation into collective intelligence. The most successful foresight managers build participation into everyday work – making signal...

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How to choose the right horizon scanning tool for my team?

Choosing the right horizon scanning tool can make the difference between scattered insights and a powerful foresight capability. The ideal platform enables teams to spot emerging trends early, turn...

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How do I distinguish a weak signal from noise?

When you are scanning hundreds of sources, from news sites and academic papers to patents and blogs, it is easy to feel overwhelmed. Some findings appear promising but later prove irrelevant, while...

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How do I effectively track weak signals over time?

Weak signals are the early hints of change that may later evolve into major trends or disruptions. Tracking them over time ensures that signals are not forgotten, overlooked, or dismissed before...

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Try FIBRES for horizon scanning

Our software was designed for building your own futures intelligence, including enabling efficient scanning. Are you ready to take your foresight to the next level? See what FIBRES can offer.

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